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International Journal of Physics and Mathematics
Peer Reviewed Journal

Vol. 8, Issue 1, Part A (2026)

A statistical model of COVID 19 infectiousness with safe awareness and immunization: A mass analysis utilizing the 'SVEIR' model with multiple equation

Author(s):

Naba Kumar Biswas and Monika Srivastava

Abstract:

Medicinal treatments were not necessary to control the majority of cases in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. Vaccination is a powerful weapon in the battle against the spread of SARS-CoV-2. The SVEIR (Susceptible-Vaccinated-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered) model is presented in this study in details. This model takes vaccination dynamics and safe awareness approaches into consideration. This model utilizes a set of several differential equations to depict the interconnections among vaccination rates, public health activities, and the transmission of infectious diseases. In order to examine the model's threshold behavior, the fundamental reproduction number (R1) is generated. The global equilibrium free of disease is asymptotically stable when the value of R₀ is smaller than 1, indicating that the epidemic is successfully managed. Assuming R1 > 1, the model indicates that COVID-19 will spread uniformly across the population. All through contrast, this holds true. By simulating infection patterns numerically using Indian epidemiological data, we confirm that the model agrees with the data. Based on several scenarios on the effectiveness of vaccines and the adherence to awareness, the models forecast the future trajectory of the pandemic. The data show that infection rates drop significantly when non-poisoning inoculants (NPIs) are made more potent. In addition, NPIs are still necessary even in cases when immunization rates are 100% and vaccine efficacy is below 76%. We estimate a herd immunity threshold area by investigating the connection between vaccination rate and vaccine efficacy. Furthermore, a two-patch scenario is set up to symbolize India and China. Because of this, we can control the flow of people across international boundaries and make sure they get there safely. This model accounts for the mental and physiological factors that play a role in the transmission of disease in order to better educate the people tasked with creating public health policies.

Pages: 21-33  |  63 Views  37 Downloads


International Journal of Physics and Mathematics
How to cite this article:
Naba Kumar Biswas and Monika Srivastava. A statistical model of COVID 19 infectiousness with safe awareness and immunization: A mass analysis utilizing the 'SVEIR' model with multiple equation. Int. J. Phys. Math. 2026;8(1):21-33. DOI: 10.33545/26648636.2026.v8.i1a.178